I’m sorry for missing yesterday. The entire Spain experienced a blackout, and I was among the unfortunate who had no power or mobile signal until after midnight. Global Financial Condition Highlights * Tensions around US-China trade negotiations remain delicate, with ongoing backchannel contacts and conflicting public statements. Positive signals on
Global markets are currently in a risk-on mode, driven by positive developments in trade negotiations, notably potential agreements involving India and sector-specific tariff exemptions from China. The outlook for US-China trade talks appears cautiously optimistic, with indications that the US is actively engaged in negotiations, although China disputes some claims.
Risk appetite fluctuates amid US-China trade negotiations, with market sentiment swaying between optimism and caution. Gold under pressure, USDCHF shows technical bullish signals.
The markets experienced a risk-on rally overnight, driven by positive comments from U.S. policymakers suggesting no imminent rate hikes and potential tariff reductions with China, which boosted equities and risk-sensitive JPY pairs like GBPJPY. However, concerns about recession risks remain elevated, with some indicators indicating underpricing of recession probabilities—
A summary of market conditions on April 22, 2025, highlighting geopolitical tensions, safe-haven flows, and risks to the US economy.
Today’s market outlook highlights a risk-off environment with strong safe-haven assets, amid policy uncertainty and geopolitical risks. Equities remain vulnerable, while gold and JPY remain bullish.
The markets are currently under the influence of cautious macroeconomic signals and geopolitical uncertainty. The ECB’s dovish stance, with expected rate cuts and cautious forward guidance, is fueling short-term euro weakness, especially against the GBP. The US Federal Reserve remains hawkish, with no imminent interest rate cuts, but speculation
Comprehensive market summary highlighting currencies, gold, and major asset outlooks as of April 17, 2025, amid geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties.
The markets are experiencing heightened volatility due to ambiguities in U.S.-China trade relations, with recent announcements indicating tariffs as high as 245% on certain goods from China. Though this may seem alarming, analysts clarify that these rates reflect existing tariffs rather than new escalations. As a result, equities